Two-Thirds of Twin Cities GOP Leaders Believe Minnesota in Play for Romney

In our inaugural “Red Twin Cities” survey, influential Republicans paint an early picture for November's general election.

More than two-thirds of influential Republicans from around the Twin Cities Patch areas believe Mitt Romney can pull off an upset win in Minnesota in 2012.

First, the survey shows, the presumed nominee has to reach out to Ron Paul Republicans.

Ninety-six conservatives from Twin Cities Patch areas—from St. Michael to Woodbury, Fridley to Northfield—were surveyed last week in Patch’s inaugural Twin Cities Red poll, which focused on November’s biggest race.

Forty responses were collected.

When asked if they felt Mitt Romney could pick up a win over President Barack Obama in the fall, two-thirds expressed optimism.

“Every race is winnable,” said one Republican respondent (all survey answers were anonymous). “It’s possible if enough people are tired of our current president,” said another.

When asked about Minnesota’s February caucus winner, former Gov. Rick Santorum, the vast majority of Republicans surveyed believe his supporters will get behind Romney.

When it comes to Ron Paul, however, the Minnesota panel sings a different tune. Only 17, or about 43 percent, said Romney, the presumed Republican nominee, would get the support of Ron Paul Republicans in the November election.

“Ron Paul supporters see no difference between Obamney [Romney and Obama],” said one respondent. “Mitt has to reach out to the Ron Paul voter” first, said another.

When asked what they’d like to see on Red Twin Cities’ next survey, several pointed to the “running mate” issue, or who Mitt Romney will eventually pick as his vice presidential candidate. Others want the state’s two amendment questions—Voter I.D. and the Marriage Amendment—on our list.

The Red Twin Cities Survey

Our surveys are not a scientific, random sample of any larger population, but rather an effort to listen to a group of influential local Republican activists, party leaders, candidates and elected officials in Minnesota. All of these individuals have agreed to participate in Minnesota Patch’s surveys, although not all responded to this story’s questions. Surveys were conducted from June 27 to July 1, 2012.

Patch will be conducting Red Twin Cities and Blue Twin Cities surveys throughout the 2012 election season in hopes of determining the true sentiment of conservatives and progressives on the ground in Minnesota. If you are an activist, party leader or elected official and would like to take part in periodic surveys that last just a few minutes, please contact Associate Regional Editor Mike Schoemer at mike.schoemer@patch.com.

Red Twin Cities Roster: Sara Anderson (candidate for State House), John Anderson (campaign chair, Palmer for House), David Arvidson (SD 46 candidate), Rep. Mike Beard (HD 35), Bryan Bjornson (Republican activist), Joe Blum (District 52A candidate), Mike Boguszewski (Congressional Dist. 4), Reed Bornholdt (Richfield GOP), Christopher Burns (Woodbury), Nick Caron (campaign mgr. Tuschy for House), Roger Champagne (SD 46 candidate), Matt Chase (treasurer Dist. 46), Steve Cherney, Janalee Cooper, David Cote (Honeywell CEO), Jennifer DeJournett (VOICES of Conservative Women founder), Rep. Bob Dettmer (39A), Don Dickerson (Roseville GOP), Bob Erickson (Lakeville School Board), Kelley Fenton (GOP deputy chair MN), Chris Fields, David FitzSimmons (HD 30B), Mark Fotsch (HD 66A), Hal Fotsch (Dist. 39 organizer), Sen. David Gaither, Stan Genadek, David Gerson (Candidate for Congress), Dennis Gilliespe (Richfield), Richard Glasgow (Washington Co. GOP), Sen. David Hahn, Tim Hall, Sen. Dan Hall, Garold Healy (Hopkins mayoral candidate), Mike Held (SD46 GOP), Dale Helm (candidate 41A), Rep. Mary Liz Holberg, Jeanne Holland (STMA Schools), Sue Holman McCarville (Hopkins GOP), Karin Housley (SD 39), Terry Jacobsen (House Dist. 49B), Arylahn Johnson (HD 49B), Mark Johnson (chair of SD 56), Reid Johnson (candidate for HD 45B), Mike Kaess (SD 51 chair), Emilie Kastner, Rep. Andrea Kieffer (HD 56), Rep. Mary Kiffmeyer (SD 30 candidate), Former Sen. Amy Koch (former majority leader), Jon Koznick, Don Lee, Sen. Ted Lillie (Woodbury), Sen. Warren Limmer, Terry McCall, Rep. Joe McDonald (Delano), Mike McGinn, Mike McCllean, Cory Merrifeld (Save the Vikes.org), Gary Mertz (SD49 Communications), Former Sen. Geoff Michel, Dan Morehead (GOP activist), Andrew Mullin (Wayzata city council), Rep. Pam Myhra (Burnsville), Richard Novack (delegate), Kevin O’Donovan (Richfield GOP), Jon Olson (former campaign manager for Chris Fields), Laura Palmer (HD 41), Sarah Patzloff (Edina schools), Jeff Pauley, Rep. Joyce Peppin (Rogers/Maple Grove), Roz Peterson (Lakeville), Camden Pike (Party chair, SD41), Lt. Col. Alex Plechash (head of MN Org. of GOP Vets), Bill Pulkrabek (Washington Co. Commission), Dwight Rabuse (SD 52 candidate), Erik Radtke (staffer, Emmer for Gov.), John Rheinberger (Wash Co. GOP), former Sen. Claire Robling, Mitch Rossow (SD 61 secretary), Chuck Roulet (SD 32 co-chair), Bron Scherer (MN GOP treasurer), Donna Schmidt, Al Schneider (Kline for Congress), Paul Scofield (HD 46), Joe Slamon (SD 53 chair), Chris Soukup, Mark Stefan (HD44B challenger), Rep. Kirk Stensrud (H 48A), Brett Steven (SD 62 secretary), Tom Swain (former mayor of Lilydale), Sen. John Swanson, Lynn Swon, Sen Roy Terwilliger, Sen. Dave Thompson, Blair Tremere (Golden Valley ex-mayor), Paul Tuschy (HD 52B candidate), Shaji Varghese (HD 51A chair), Lynn Wardlow, Tiana Wells (national delegate), Aramis Wells (Ron Paul for Pres.), Mark Westphal (HD 39 chair), Tim Wilkin (former state rep.), former Rep. Kelby Woodard (Northfield), Mark Zasadny (national GOP delegate), Hannah Zasadny (local delegate) and Rep. Kurt Zellers, Speaker of the House. 

Charles Allen July 07, 2012 at 09:49 PM
I want Twin Cities Purple for Independent voters who don't need a party to make an "informed decision" for them. I take part in our political process at a much more intellectual level and do so for the best of our Country and for her people; Not for political super pacs and thriving corporations. Most especially when your average American is carrying the burden for this economic recession; not the banks and companies that our Government bailed out with OUR MONEY when the majority of us DIDN'T WANT TO BAIL THEM OUT. Mitt Romney owns 6 houses, one of which is over $12 million dollars, all reportedly so his family can 'have enough rooms for 5 children plus their children.' Our Country should not be a Plutocracy; yet over HALF of our Congressional representatives are millionaires. The disparity between the wealthy and the poor is alarming, and is most likely contributing to the rising crime rate here in Minnesota, especially in Minneapolis. Good luck convincing our well educated youth to vote for Mr. Romney. It's time for the Millennial generation to reign supreme now; you're conservative ways are old and obsolete.
Gregory K. Sloat July 07, 2012 at 11:04 PM
Did you look at who is on the "Red Twin Cities Roster"? What do you expect them to say? I'm going to have to post my comments in about three parts because of the character limitation. Part I Every four years we get to do this little dance. We get tired of the treasonous behavior by the current administration, and decide to "change." The only problem is, the candidates from both major parties are already bought and paid for by the major players behind the scenes who control the money and power by the time those candidates are revealed to us. So, it doesn't matter. We kick one bum out, hoping for "change" that will bring us back toward Constitutional government, but the new bum keeps taking us down the same path toward tyranny. So, we kick out THAT bum, and so on, and the slide down the slippery slope just keeps on going.
Gregory K. Sloat July 07, 2012 at 11:06 PM
Part III The old arguments don't play with the pubilc, any more, and the liberty movement isn't fooled. We know that Romney is funded by the same banking/global interests that fund Obama. I think, however, that they don't care about winning. They only care about keeping their power and control, even if it's just over a losing party. Because if someone of principle actually WERE to win an election, the corruption and graft might be revealed, and people in high places might actually be prosecuted, convicted, and go to prison.
Gregory K. Sloat July 07, 2012 at 11:08 PM
Part II What do you expect "Republican leaders" to say? We know they get their marching orders from the RNC and they have already anointed Mitt as their savior, just like they anointed McCain before him, and Dole before HIM. They are going to get exactly the same results, too, unfortunately. Until they put up a REAL candidate, one who is principled, honors his Oath of Office to the Constitution, and takes the job of protecting our freedom seriously (gee, I wonder where someone like that could be?), these wannabe RINOs, statists, globalists, and neocons aren't going to win anything.
C July 07, 2012 at 11:17 PM
I think Obama is a principled person.
Susan July 07, 2012 at 11:18 PM
The End Because of the money corrupting politics and politicians, it would have been extremely difficult to change things. It was the same politicians benefiting from the money, that would have needed to change the system....difficult, but not impossible. Citizens United put the nail in the coffin...
Susan July 07, 2012 at 11:23 PM
Chris, I believe he started that way but has learned that he needs to "play" the political game. It's unfortunate, but as I mention above, if Citizens United does not get repealed, it will be the people who will suffer (more), not the politicians.
Gregory K. Sloat July 07, 2012 at 11:24 PM
Your comments are a prime example of what I have been trying to get through to many of the "party" Republicans for some time, and I thank you for them. However, a lot of them don't seem to get it. One thing I would say, though. Conservative ways are not old and obsolete. We haven't actually tried them for quite some time. It's like those who criticize capitalism, when we don't have that, either. We have crony-capitalism, or what was called Mercantilism in Hamilton's time (you could call it "corporatism," now). Likewise, if we had true conservatism, our country would be operating according to the vision of Jefferson and we'd all be a lot better off (and there are those in the MNGOP who are trying to bring that about, and taking heat for it).
Gregory K. Sloat July 07, 2012 at 11:28 PM
I wish there was a LIKE button attached to each post that you could click, because I'd "like" THIS post about TEN TIMES IN A ROW!
Gregory K. Sloat July 07, 2012 at 11:42 PM
The fact of the matter is, Romney will not win in Minnesota or anywhere else, unless he has the support of the liberty movement. He can't get that support because even though he can say the "right" words, he lacks any credibility. So, as long as the GOP keeps putting up phonies, they'll keep getting the same election results. Now, if somehow, there actually was a true conservative candidate who not only said the right words, but had the record to back up his rhetoric, why the GOP would be ALL OVER a candidate like that, wouldn't they? Someone who actually believes that WE THE PEOPLE are the government, that we are sovereign individuals OVER that government (since it was PEOPLE who created the government, and not the other way around), and that our government is subservient to US. Really, wouldn't they? <trying to hold my breath>
ward tatro July 08, 2012 at 12:29 AM
As does Obamacare. Check it out.
Randy Marsh July 08, 2012 at 12:40 AM
Gregory, the Minnesota GOP already tried to go down that path in insisting on running Tom Emmer for governor. How did that work out? It was only a contest of the who was slightly better between two terrible candidates and he couldn't even beat Mark Dayton. If you think Santorum or (gasp) Bachmann would be a better challenger than Romney you're crazy. Romney's biggest problem in this election is his efforts to win over the neo-cons that will of course cost him any chance at the moderate and independent voters.
ward tatro July 08, 2012 at 12:40 AM
Why does Obama keep everything sealed up? Why does he surround himself with the people he does? Why does he appoint people to Govt. positions that function from Alinskys "Rules for Radicals"? I cannot understand how anyone could consider him "Principled"
Randy Marsh July 08, 2012 at 12:51 AM
I like some of what Gregory is saying here. I think in the future Republicans should label themselves Bible-thumping pro-lifers at all costs (these are the folks that would vote for Hitler if he was on the ballot and said he was against abortion) or simply those who want smaller government yet value public education and are willing to make reasonable accommodations for those not born with a gold spoon in their mouths (this is a group I can throw my support behind, but unfortunately they are treated like pariahs by their own party).
Randy Marsh July 08, 2012 at 12:58 AM
Chris, now that we know you're actually reading these comments can you at least agree with me and a few others who have commented similarly that this is a ridiculous series Patch has started. If not, I would (respectfully) love to hear yours or the thoughts of anyone else in a position to respond to any of the comments I made previously in response to Part 1 of this on-going series. I know you probably spent a lot of time on that flashy logo and everything, but sometimes it's better to cut your losses and preserve your dignity. Thanks in advance.
Timothy Hall July 08, 2012 at 01:59 AM
Governor Romney is a state rights candidate. Ron Paul and Rick Santorum will vote for him. I think it is funny I was listed as taking the pole but not mentioned I am a Republican candidate in a primary to run against Ann Rest in the general election. Timothy Hall
Dennis Holman July 08, 2012 at 03:32 AM
I think Obama is a narcissistic, megalomaniacal alien.
Braindead Liberals July 08, 2012 at 05:45 AM
Another leftist moron heard from.
Braindead Liberals July 08, 2012 at 05:50 AM
Then this is the perfect time for another GOP landslide, right after the "fast and furious" crimes committed by Holder and Obama (the marxist sockpuppet squatting in the white house).
Braindead Liberals July 08, 2012 at 05:56 AM
ROFLMAO...please, stop with the straight faced humor. Obama, Nobel Peace Prize winner sending drones to assassinate people. Obama knowing and approving of a gun running operation that killed an American Border Patrol agent, then lying about it and using executive privilege to cover it up. Obama is as principled as Stalin.
Timothy Hall July 08, 2012 at 12:14 PM
Hi Charles Allen, The wage gap is caused by public school administrators not teaching reading in the first grade. In Minnesota only 32% of our students are ready to go to college by the time they graduate, if they graduate at all. Over 50% of minority students don't graduate. The administrators in our schools have failed our students. They need to be replaced with a private company to handle our administration needs for our schools much like Mndot does with our roads. This is necessary because no matter how much money we give the schools our administrators will continue to give themselves raises instead of buying the tools our children need for learning. If this was a sports team with this losing record no one would think twice about replacing the general manager and the coach. Education is not a game and our students don't have another season. There is new hope in Education for our district and Country. New hope begins in New Hope Minnesota. I am Tim Hall and I am running to represent district 45 for State Senate.
Libertarian Brent July 08, 2012 at 03:32 PM
@ Chris: He's sooooo principled, like how when campaigned on ending the war, closing G'itmo, and such. G'itmo is still open, we still are in Iraq. @ "Minnesota Majority", as a social libertarian, I definitely find the irony you pointed out in your post to be true and valid. If Republicans can't "stop" Brodkorb and Koch from hooking up, it is ironic they think they can stop "Adam and Steve" from comitting to eachother legally. I am not a lefty, I am a Libertarian..
Aimee Anderson July 08, 2012 at 05:45 PM
It this what all middle aged liberal males look like, unclean, unkept, dingy, and probalby still living in their mom and dads basement - wow every womans dream.
Susan July 08, 2012 at 06:08 PM
Aimee, some friendly advice...keep the comments about the topic, not the individuals debating. Mommy's basement is irrelevant, immature and adds nothing to the conversation.
Becky Anderson July 08, 2012 at 10:34 PM
C July 09, 2012 at 12:40 AM
I didn't say that Obama was all that successful with implementing his agenda. I just think, in general, he's a principled person. He's pretty centrist and actually quite conservative (in the maintain the status quo sense). I was very disappointed in the first two years of the administration. Democrats had both houses and the presidency, but the party leadership couldn't even manage their own people. The Republicans are much better at this. Romney just wants to say that everything Obama says or does is wrong - even when he actually thinks Obama is right. Romney has no actual ideas. He's a wealthy Tim Pawlenty. He'll just say or do whatever he thinks will score political points - pretty easy to see through that. Obama should easily win re-election.
Libertarian Brent July 09, 2012 at 05:41 AM
Unfortunately Chris, I think you are right. I am definitely not an Obama or a Romney fan, but I am skeptical of how Ron Paul's fans say he'll end up the nomination, that is why I don't give a fllying hockey puck if i am throwing my vote away by writing Ron in or voting for Gary Johnson..
EndTheFed August 22, 2012 at 11:36 AM
wag the dog ....
Bauer August 22, 2012 at 01:36 PM
Where did they find conservatives in Northfield? Is there a secret club somewhere?
Bauer August 22, 2012 at 01:41 PM
This might be a good year for the Mickey Mouse write-in vote.


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